GO · NASDAQ · Grocery Stores

Grocery Outlet (GO)

Extreme-value grocer selling closeout brand-name goods through independently operated neighborhood stores.

$11.34
vs last close−0.15 (−1.31%)
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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.GO
Consumer Staples

Sells fresh groceries and closeout general merchandise sourced opportunistically from name-brand suppliers, with every store run by an independent local operator who earns roughly half the store's gross profit rather than a fixed wage.

Sells fresh groceries, everyday staples, and closeout general merchandise through a "treasure hunt" format, mixing brand-name surplus and short-dated inventory with regular grocery items.

Stores are concentrated on the West Coast, where the chain first grew; a 2011 acquisition added a Pennsylvania cluster on the East Coast, and a 2024 acquisition brought a Southeast presence.

Each store is run by an Independent Operator, a local entrepreneur who hires staff and handles local merchandising under an operator agreement, while the company centralizes purchasing and owns or leases the real estate, paying the operator roughly half the store's gross profit as commission.

Growth depends on recruiting enough operator candidates to staff new stores, and the sourcing model depends on ongoing relationships with CPG suppliers willing to route surplus inventory through the chain.

Company facts

CEOJason Potter
ListedJun 20, 2019
ExchangeNASDAQ
HeadquartersEmeryville, CA
CountryUnited States
Employees3,900
CIK0001771515
ISINUS39874R1014

Market cap$1.14B
EPS (ttm)−$3.88
P/E (ttm)−2.96
ROE-40.1%
P/B1.39
P/S0.2397
Dividend yieldDiv yield
Beta0.54vs XLP 1.22

Price target$11.00−4.3%Average of 23 analysts
ConsensusHold15 of 23 analysts
Ratings

Target rangeAs of Sep 22, 2026

Latest analyst notes

DateFirmActionPriorCurrent
Aug 13, 2026Telsey AdvisoryReiterate
Rating: Target: $15
Rating: Market PerformTarget: $12
Aug 13, 2026Deutsche BankReiterate
Rating: Target: $11
Rating: HoldTarget: $9
Aug 13, 2026Roth CapitalReiterate
Rating: Target: $20
Rating: NeutralTarget: $10
Aug 13, 2026Wells FargoReiterate
Rating: Target: $9
Rating: Equal WeightTarget: $11
Aug 13, 2026DA DavidsonReiterate
Rating: Target: $9
Rating: NeutralTarget: $12

Next report
Nov 3, 26
in 41 days
EPS estimate
$0.15
Revenue estimate
$1.17B
Fiscal quarter
Q3 FY26

EPSReportedEstimate

Feb '25May '25Aug '25Nov '25Mar '26May '26Aug '26Nov '26
Reported$0.15$0.13$0.23$0.21$0.19$0.05$0.20Pending
Estimate$0.17$0.07$0.17$0.19$0.21$0.02$0.13$0.15
Surprise−11.8%+85.7%+35.3%+10.5%−9.5%+150.0%+58.6%

RevenueReportedEstimate

Feb '25May '25Aug '25Nov '25Mar '26May '26Aug '26Nov '26
Reported$1.10B$1.13B$1.18B$1.17B$1.22B$1.17B$1.19BPending
Estimate$1.09B$1.12B$1.18B$1.23B$1.22B$1.15B$1.17B$1.17B
Surprise+1.0%+0.1%+0.1%−4.9%−0.6%+1.4%+2.2%
Estimate$0.15
ReportedDue Nov 3, 2026
Estimate$1.17B
ReportedDue Nov 3, 2026
View details

Debt to equity226.70%
Current ratio129.10%

ProfitabilityRevenueNet incomeNet margin

Q3 FY24Q4 FY24Q1 FY25Q2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26
Revenue$1.11B$1.10B$1.13B$1.18B$1.17B$1.22B$1.17B$1.19B
Net income$24.2M$2.3M−$23.3M$5.0M$11.6M−$218.2M−$180.3M$5.6M
Net margin2.2%0.2%0.0%0.4%1.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%

GrowthOperating income

Q3 FY24Q4 FY24Q1 FY25Q2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26
Operating income$40.3M$11.4M−$22.5M$34.5M$33.3M$142.9M$6.5M$15.8M
YoY growth+7.3%−39.9%Turned loss+32.0%−17.4%+1,156.9%Turned profit−54.2%

Balance sheet, Jul 4, 2026Cash & short-term investments $74.2M · Total debt $1.85B · Total assets $2.99B · Shareholders' equity $816.6M

Revenue
$1.19B
Operating income
$15.8M
Net income
$5.6M
View details

No dividends on record.

Institutions115.03%113.98M shares
262 holders · as of Jun 30, 2026
Insiders12.61%12.50M shares
27 holders · as of Aug 31, 2026
Adds to127.64%

99.08M company shares as of Sep 23, 2026 · institutions as of Jun 30, 2026 · holders as of their latest filing

These groups come from separate filings that can overlap, so they add to 127.64%; nothing is left for Other.

Top shareholders13F · 13D/G · Form 4

HolderStakeSharesDate
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.Institution
18.95%18.78Mas of Jun 30, 2026
BlackRock, Inc.Institution
15.42%15.27Mas of Jun 30, 2026
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLCInstitution
6.13%6.08Mas of Jun 30, 2026
Pertento Partners LLPInstitution
5.55%5.50Mfiled Aug 19, 2026
Mackenzie Financial CorporationInstitution
5.04%5.00Mfiled Feb 4, 2022

Insider tradesForm 4

DateInsiderRoleSharesAvg price
Aug 27, 2026Carey F. Jarosdirector+15,000$11.70
Aug 21, 2026Frank Michael Kerrofficer: See Remarks−1,432$11.30
Aug 20, 2026Paul Blaine Millerofficer: See Remarks+8,000$10.90
Jun 25, 2026Paul Blaine Millerofficer: See Remarks+5,000$9.50
Jun 18, 2026Paul Blaine Millerofficer: See Remarks+10,000$9.37
View details

  • Walmart

    Competes on everyday-low grocery prices at a scale that pressures value share

  • Kroger

    Runs West Coast conventional banners now cutting prices to chase value shoppers

  • Costco

    Warehouse-club bulk buys and Kirkland treasure-hunt undercut value grocers

  • Dollar General

    Competes for low-income shoppers via 20,900+ small-box discount stores

  • Albertsons Companies

    Competes via Safeway/Vons on West Coast conventional grocery pricing

  • Dollar Tree

    Multi-price small-box variety chain competing for the same trade-down shopper

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet

    Competes for bargain shoppers via closeout, treasure-hunt merchandising

  • Sprouts Farmers Market

    Competes for value-conscious shoppers via small-box, produce-led discount format

Compare

CompanyPriceChange
Grocery Outlet$11.34−1.31%$1.14B19.10.2+1.1%
Walmart$109.97−0.13%$876.34B39.836.71.2+5.9%
Kroger$58.26−0.52%$35.88B31.711.70.2+2.0%
Costco$896.39−0.34%$398.87B45.240.81.4+11.6%
Dollar General$121.16−1.20%$27.05B15.915.10.6+5.2%
Albertsons Companies$11.80−2.24%$5.86B150.95.30.1+0.2%
Dollar Tree$113.89−1.00%$22.11B14.016.51.1+7.0%
Ollie's Bargain Outlet$83.55+1.29%$4.99B18.418.31.8+9.1%
Sprouts Farmers Market$67.32−1.98%$6.40B13.211.40.7+4.7%
Median25.015.80.9+5.6%